Saturday, May 2, 2020

Should We Trace ???

From MIT Technology Review:

Virtually all medical professionals - and medical bodies from America’s Centers for Disease Control to the World Health Organization - emphatically say contact tracing is a crucial part of the three-pronged plan for returning the world to normal: test, trace, isolate.

You can read the rest @
https://www.technologyreview.com/2020/04/28/1000714/five-things-to-make-contact-tracing-work-covid-pandemic-apple-google/

First of all, the world will NOT return to normal; a "new normal" is being crafted.

Second, in spite of all the hype we're not even close to being ready to test in sufficient numbers to make this "three-pronged plan" work.

Third, we couldn't even make something simple like a computer-based primary election work. Now we're going to do a complex task like contact tracing? Really?

Fourth, whom are we going to isolate? The sick, or the most-at-risk? We could isolate either, or both, without tracing. And we could do it NOW.

Finally, COVID-19 will not be brought under control until we achieve herd immunity, and we could do that quickly WITHOUT tracing.

The real question is - which strategy results in the fewest deaths and the least suffering? I don't think anyone can answer that, but we MUST if we are to commit to anything as drastic as contact tracing or mandatory vaccination.

There has never been a successful coronavirus vaccine. What is different this time, other than the level of gullibility of the general public?

By the way, in a former life I started working on a PhD in planetary physics at MIT. The Vietnam War intervened, and I decided not to return to MIT after I got out of the Army. No big deal, I had lost interest in academics by then and the job prospects for planetary physicists are pretty slim.

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