Thursday, April 7, 2016

The Fallacy Of Electric Vehicles

According to this report, electric vehicles soon may replace gasoline powered cars in the US:

Electric vehicles might kill fossil fuel-powered models far sooner than the industry - or anyone, for that matter - could have imagined. Gas-powered cars, according to several predictions, will be entirely replaced by electric vehicles as soon as 2025.

Elon Musk’s Tesla Motors and its major rivals are now producing electric vehicles (EVs) with improved battery technology — at prices comparable to combustion-engine predecessors, and at the fastest pace yet — in a desperate attempt to match consumer demand.

You can read the rest @

Is that even possible? Let's examine some FACTS which are usually ignored by such pie-in-the-sky predictions:

1. The power to charge the batteries of EVs has to be produced somewhere.

2. A typical EV uses 4,500 kWh to drive 15,000 miles per year.

3. There are about 250 million registered passenger vehicles in the US. Were they all to be swapped for typical EVs driving 15,000 miles per year, that would require an electrical generating capacity in excess of 1.1 trillion kWh.

The current US electrical generating capacity is 4 trillion kWh, but it may not be that high for long:

a. The climate change loonies want to eliminate the burning of coal as a source of electricity.

b. Coal-fired power plants currently produce 33 % of all electricity consumed in the US, and that amounts to roughly 1.4 trillion kWh.

If US capacity were reduced by that amount at the same time EVs added new demand of 1.1 trillion kWh, it should be clear there will not be enough to go around.

Either new sources of electricity will be required, or not everyone who currently drives a car will be able to do so in the coming age of EVs.

My prediction is that most of us will be required to stay at home (should we be so lucky as to still have homes).

And yes, Elon's dreams are bullshit.

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