Saturday, July 4, 2015

Zero For 40 At Predicting Terror Attacks

Here’s a selection of previous FBI and DHS “terror warnings” over the past 14 years, not a single one of which actually predicted or foiled a terror attack:
  • October 2001: “Potential use of chemical/biological and/or radiological/nuclear weapons“
  • November 2001: California bridges
  • February 2002: “Hollywood studios”
  • May 2002: Statue of Liberty
  • June 2002: “Around the Fourth of July holiday”
  • July 2002: Stadiums
  • August 2002: “Landmarks”
  • October 2002: “AQ to attack Amtrak”
  • November 2002: “Spectacular Al Qaeda attacks”
  • February 2003: “Apartments, hotels, sports arenas and amusement parks“
  • May 2003: “Possibility of multiple attacks”
  • May 2004: “Attempt to affect the outcome” of presidential election
  • July 2004: “Military facilities and large gatherings” on July 4th
  • August 2004: VA hospitals
  • January 2005: Dirty bomb
  • March 2005: US/Mexican border
  • October 2005: NYC & Baltimore subways
  • March 2006: “Sporting events”
  • June 2007: Colleges
  • December 2007: “Shopping malls in Chicago and LA”
  • November 2008: “Al Qaeda to attack transit during Thanksgiving”
  • November 2010: Mass transit in New York City
  • October 2011: “Americans in Europe” facing “commando-style AQ attack”
  • February 2011: “Financial institutions”
  • May 2011: “Threats of retaliation”
  • June 2011: Al Qaeda “hit list”
  • July 2011: “Private jets of executives” involved in drone manufacturing
  • September 2011: “Small planes”
  • September 2011: “New York City or Washington around…10th anniversary of 9/11”
  • September 2011: Airports
  • March 2012: “Terrorist hacking”
  • August 2012: Anarchists blowing up bridge during Tampa RNC
  • September 2012: “Islamic violence over movie”
  • August 2013: “San Fransisco on high alert”
  • November 2013: “cyber attacks”
  • April 2014: “College students abroad”
  • December 2014: ISIS targeting Mississippi River bridge
  • December 2014: ISIS “sabotaging US military personnel” over social media
  • April 2015: ISIS targeting “parts of California”
  • May 2015: ISIS targeting “military bases”

A casual search reveals the FBI and DHS are a pitiful 0 for 40 warning of terror attacks—some of which were specifically about 4th of July threats, none of which materialized in any way. This should not be considered a comprehensive list of all threat warnings transmitted by media; I tried to narrow the scope to warnings that were at least in some way specific.


The actual terror attacks carried out on US soil—the Times Square bomber, “Underwear bomber,” Boston bombing and Garland attacks—were accompanied by no such warnings. (Nor were the often deadlier terrorist attacks by right-wing white terrorists–but terrorism in this category is rarely if ever the subject of FBI warnings.)


So why, a rational person may ask, does the media keeps repeating them if they’re wrong 100 percent of the time?


You can read the rest @

http://fair.org/home/zero-for-40-at-predicting-attacks-why-do-media-still-take-fbi-terror-warnings-seriously/

Why indeed?


This sort of record also applies to the instances in which we have "gone to war" or attacked other sovereign nations. The number of them which have been an actual threat to the United States is at or near zero.

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